Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-12-29 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.45247%100%
2Jet Greaves CBJCBJ2.44167%35%
3Jakub Dobes MTLMTL2.24140%100%
4Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.13070%31%
5Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
6Ilya Sorokin NYINYI23067%0%
7Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.94164%0%
8Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.94150%35%
9Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.84255%35%
10Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.74144%35%
11Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.63054%0%
12Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.54150%0%
13Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA1.53050%35%
14Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53150%50%
15Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.53156%35%
16Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.43046%0%
17Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
18Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.43047%35%
19Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.44145%0%
20Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.43045%100%
21Joey Daccord SEASEA1.43150%35%
22Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.34132%35%
23Joel Hofer STLSTL1.24141%0%
24Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
25Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.24031%100%
26Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.24129%35%
27Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
28Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13136%35%
29Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.14220%35%
30Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF13035%20%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.94129%0%
32John Gibson DETDET0.73135%0%