Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-12-22 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.53156%35%
2Joey Daccord SEASEA1.43150%35%
3Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS1.42070%31%
4Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.43150%35%
5Lukas Dostal ANAANA1.32065%27%
6Jet Greaves CBJCBJ1.32067%35%
7Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.32064%0%
8Ilya Sorokin NYINYI1.33167%0%
9Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13136%35%
10Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.12055%35%
11Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.13154%0%
12Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA12050%0%
13Jake Oettinger DALDAL12050%50%
14Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK0.93146%0%
15Linus Ullmark OTTOTT0.92047%35%
16Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.92045%0%
17Dustin Wolf CGYCGY0.92045%100%
18Frederik Andersen CARCAR0.92047%100%
19Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS0.92045%100%
20Juuse Saros NSHNSH0.92044%35%
21Joel Hofer STLSTL0.82041%0%
22Jakub Dobes MTLMTL0.82040%100%
23Connor Ingram EDMEDM0.82042%35%
24Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.72035%20%
25Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR0.72036%0%
26John Gibson DETDET0.73135%0%
27Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.62029%0%
28Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.62031%100%
29Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.62029%35%
30Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA0.51050%35%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.42020%35%
32Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.31032%35%