Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-12-15 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.44170%31%
2Jakub Dobes MTLMTL2.24140%100%
3Jake Oettinger DALDAL24150%50%
4Jet Greaves CBJCBJ23067%35%
5Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
6Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA1.94150%35%
7Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.93147%100%
8Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.84147%35%
9Lukas Dostal ANAANA1.84265%27%
10Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
11Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.74144%35%
12Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.64142%35%
13Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.64154%0%
14Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.63131%100%
15Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.54150%0%
16Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
17Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.53050%35%
18Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.43045%100%
19Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
20Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.43155%35%
21Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.44145%0%
22Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.34032%35%
23Ilya Sorokin NYINYI1.33167%0%
24Joel Hofer STLSTL1.24141%0%
25Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.24129%35%
26Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.15236%0%
27Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
28Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK0.93146%0%
29Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.94129%0%
30Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.93135%20%
31John Gibson DETDET0.74235%0%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.63020%35%