Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-12-01 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jakub Dobes MTLMTL2.84240%100%
2Lukas Dostal ANAANA2.64065%27%
3Jet Greaves CBJCBJ2.44167%35%
4Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.13070%31%
5Ilya Sorokin NYINYI24167%0%
6Jake Oettinger DALDAL24150%50%
7Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA1.94150%35%
8Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.94164%0%
9Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.94150%35%
10Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.93147%100%
11Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.84045%100%
12Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
13Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.63054%0%
14Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.54150%0%
15Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.43155%35%
16Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.43047%35%
17Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.43046%0%
18Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.44145%0%
19Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
20Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.34132%35%
21Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.33044%35%
22Joel Hofer STLSTL1.24141%0%
23Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
24Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
25Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.14136%0%
26Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF13035%20%
27Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD14120%35%
28John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
29Joey Daccord SEASEA12050%35%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.93029%0%
31Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
32Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93029%35%