Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-11-24 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL24156%35%
2Jet Greaves CBJCBJ23067%35%
3Jake Oettinger DALDAL24150%50%
4Ilya Sorokin NYINYI23067%0%
5Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
6Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.94047%35%
7Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA1.94150%35%
8Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.94131%100%
9Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.93145%100%
10Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.84045%0%
11Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.83140%100%
12Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.74144%35%
13Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS1.73170%31%
14Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.53050%0%
15Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.53050%35%
16Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.44136%35%
17Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.43047%100%
18Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
19Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.43155%35%
20Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.33164%0%
21Joel Hofer STLSTL1.24141%0%
22Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.14136%0%
23Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.13154%0%
24Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD14120%35%
25John Gibson DETDET14135%0%
26Eric Comrie WPGWPG13132%35%
27Joey Daccord SEASEA12050%35%
28Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK0.93146%0%
29Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.93135%20%
30Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93129%35%
31Connor Ingram EDMEDM0.82042%35%
32Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.63129%0%