Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-11-17 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.94245%100%
2Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.84070%31%
3Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.44145%100%
4Jet Greaves CBJCBJ2.34167%35%
5Lukas Dostal ANAANA2.24165%27%
6Ilya Sorokin NYINYI24167%0%
7Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.94047%100%
8Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA1.94150%35%
9Joey Daccord SEASEA1.94150%35%
10Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.94150%35%
11Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
12Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.64142%35%
13Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
14Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.63054%0%
15Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.53050%0%
16Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
17Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.44035%20%
18Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.44145%0%
19Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.33164%0%
20Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
21Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
22Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
23John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
24Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK0.93146%0%
25Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
26Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.93032%35%
27Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93029%35%
28Linus Ullmark OTTOTT0.92047%35%
29Dan Vladar PHIPHI0.72036%35%
30Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.63020%35%
31Juuse Saros NSHNSH0.41044%35%
32Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.32129%0%