Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-11-03 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.44147%100%
2Lukas Dostal ANAANA2.24165%27%
3Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.13070%31%
4Kevin Lankinen VANVAN24155%35%
5Arvid Soderblom CHICHI24050%35%
6Jake Oettinger DALDAL24150%50%
7Joey Daccord SEASEA1.94150%35%
8Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.93145%100%
9Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.74144%35%
10Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA1.74250%35%
11Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
12Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.64154%0%
13Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.53050%0%
14Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.43046%0%
15Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
16Ilya Sorokin NYINYI1.33167%0%
17Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.33164%0%
18Jet Greaves CBJCBJ1.32067%35%
19Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.33147%35%
20Joel Hofer STLSTL1.24141%0%
21Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23142%35%
22Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
23Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.24129%35%
24Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
25Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF13035%20%
26John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
27Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.94129%0%
28Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
29Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.93032%35%
30Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.93145%0%
31Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR0.73136%0%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.42020%35%