Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-10-27 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.44170%31%
2Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.44145%100%
3Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.44145%100%
4Jet Greaves CBJCBJ24267%35%
5Ilya Sorokin NYINYI24167%0%
6Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
7Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.84147%35%
8Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
9Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
10Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
11Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.53050%35%
12Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.43047%100%
13Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.43046%0%
14Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.44136%35%
15Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.33044%35%
16Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.33164%0%
17Joel Hofer STLSTL1.24141%0%
18Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
19Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.13154%0%
20Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
21Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF13035%20%
22Joey Daccord SEASEA12050%35%
23Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA12050%35%
24Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA12050%0%
25John Gibson DETDET14135%0%
26Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD14120%35%
27Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.94129%0%
28Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.93145%0%
29Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93029%35%
30Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.93032%35%
31Jakub Dobes MTLMTL0.82040%100%
32Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.62031%100%