Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-10-20 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.44145%100%
2Jakub Dobes MTLMTL2.24140%100%
3Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.13070%31%
4Jake Oettinger DALDAL24150%50%
5Kevin Lankinen VANVAN24155%35%
6Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
7Ilya Sorokin NYINYI23067%0%
8Joey Daccord SEASEA1.94150%35%
9Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA1.94150%35%
10Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.94164%0%
11Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.84045%100%
12Jet Greaves CBJCBJ1.73167%35%
13Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.74144%35%
14Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.63131%100%
15Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.64142%35%
16Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.53050%0%
17Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.53156%35%
18Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.43047%100%
19Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.43047%35%
20Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.44146%0%
21Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.34132%35%
22Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.24135%20%
23Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.24129%35%
24Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
25Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
26Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
27Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.13154%0%
28Arvid Soderblom CHICHI12050%35%
29Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.93029%0%
30Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.93145%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.94120%35%
32John Gibson DETDET0.73135%0%