Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-10-13 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.44170%31%
2Arvid Soderblom CHICHI24050%35%
3Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA24050%35%
4Ilya Sorokin NYINYI23067%0%
5Kevin Lankinen VANVAN24155%35%
6Jet Greaves CBJCBJ23067%35%
7Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
8Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
9Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.93145%100%
10Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.93145%100%
11Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.84256%35%
12Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.84147%35%
13Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.74144%35%
14Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.64154%0%
15Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.64142%35%
16Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.54150%0%
17Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
18Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
19Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.43046%0%
20John Gibson DETDET1.44035%0%
21Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.43047%100%
22Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.43045%0%
23Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.34229%35%
24Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
25Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
26Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
27Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
28Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF13035%20%
29Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.93032%35%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.93029%0%
31Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.63020%35%