Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-04-07 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jet Greaves CBJCBJ2.44167%35%
2Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.44147%100%
3Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL2.24056%35%
4Lukas Dostal ANAANA2.24165%27%
5Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.13070%31%
6Ilya Sorokin NYINYI24167%0%
7Joey Daccord SEASEA1.94150%35%
8Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.94164%0%
9Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.84045%100%
10Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.84045%100%
11Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.83140%100%
12Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.74042%35%
13Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
14Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA1.53050%35%
15Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.53050%0%
16Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.53050%35%
17Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
18Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.43046%0%
19Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.43047%35%
20Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.34132%35%
21Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.33044%35%
22Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
23Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.24135%20%
24Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.14136%0%
25Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.14254%0%
26Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13136%35%
27Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
28Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.93029%0%
29Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93129%35%
30Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.93145%0%
31John Gibson DETDET0.73135%0%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.63020%35%