Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-03-31 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.44145%100%
2Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.44170%31%
3Jet Greaves CBJCBJ2.44167%35%
4Jakub Dobes MTLMTL2.24140%100%
5Jake Oettinger DALDAL24150%50%
6Ilya Sorokin NYINYI23067%0%
7Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
8Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.94164%0%
9Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.94131%100%
10Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.93147%100%
11Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.84147%35%
12Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.74144%35%
13Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
14Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
15Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA1.53050%35%
16Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.53050%35%
17Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.43045%100%
18Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.44145%0%
19Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.43046%0%
20Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.43155%35%
21Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.24029%35%
22Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
23Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
24Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.12054%0%
25John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
26Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA14250%0%
27Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.93135%20%
28Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.93032%35%
29Dan Vladar PHIPHI0.72036%35%
30Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR0.72036%0%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.63129%0%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.42020%35%