Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-03-24 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Kevin Lankinen VANVAN2.24055%35%
2Jakub Dobes MTLMTL2.24140%100%
3Ilya Sorokin NYINYI24167%0%
4Jake Oettinger DALDAL24150%50%
5Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
6Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA1.94150%35%
7Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
8Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.93145%100%
9Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.84147%35%
10Jet Greaves CBJCBJ1.73167%35%
11Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
12Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.63131%100%
13Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.64154%0%
14Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
15Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.53050%35%
16Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
17Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.43047%100%
18Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.44146%0%
19Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.43045%0%
20Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS1.42070%31%
21Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.33044%35%
22Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.24129%35%
23Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.24135%20%
24Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
25Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23142%35%
26Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
27Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD14120%35%
28John Gibson DETDET14135%0%
29Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA12050%0%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.93029%0%
31Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.93032%35%
32Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR0.73136%0%