Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-03-17 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.44170%31%
2Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.44145%100%
3Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL24156%35%
4Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
5Ilya Sorokin NYINYI23067%0%
6Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.94150%35%
7Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.93147%100%
8Jet Greaves CBJCBJ1.73167%35%
9Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.74144%35%
10Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.64154%0%
11Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
12Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.63131%100%
13Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
14Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA1.53050%35%
15Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.44136%35%
16Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.44146%0%
17Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.43045%0%
18Joey Daccord SEASEA1.43150%35%
19Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.43047%35%
20Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.33164%0%
21Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.24135%20%
22Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
23Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
24Joel Hofer STLSTL1.24141%0%
25Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
26Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA13150%0%
27Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93029%35%
28Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.93029%0%
29Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.93032%35%
30Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS0.92045%100%
31John Gibson DETDET0.72035%0%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.63020%35%