Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-03-10 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Lukas Dostal ANAANA2.24165%27%
2Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.13070%31%
3Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA24050%35%
4Jet Greaves CBJCBJ23067%35%
5Ilya Sorokin NYINYI23067%0%
6Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.94164%0%
7Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.93147%100%
8Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.94131%100%
9Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.84147%35%
10Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.84255%35%
11Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.83140%100%
12Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
13Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.63054%0%
14Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.64142%35%
15Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.53050%35%
16Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.54150%0%
17Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
18John Gibson DETDET1.44035%0%
19Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.43045%0%
20Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.43046%0%
21Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.43045%100%
22Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.23144%35%
23Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.14136%0%
24Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
25Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF13035%20%
26Jake Oettinger DALDAL12050%50%
27Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93029%35%
28Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.93032%35%
29Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.93029%0%
30Dustin Wolf CGYCGY0.92045%100%
31Joel Hofer STLSTL0.83141%0%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.63020%35%