Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-03-03 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.44145%100%
2Lukas Dostal ANAANA2.24165%27%
3Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.13070%31%
4Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL24156%35%
5Jet Greaves CBJCBJ23067%35%
6Jake Oettinger DALDAL24150%50%
7Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.94150%35%
8Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
9Joey Daccord SEASEA1.94150%35%
10Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.84045%0%
11Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.63054%0%
12Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
13Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.53050%0%
14Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.44146%0%
15Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.43047%35%
16Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.44136%35%
17Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
18Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.43047%100%
19Ilya Sorokin NYINYI1.34267%0%
20Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.34132%35%
21Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.33044%35%
22Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
23Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.24135%20%
24Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
25Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.14136%0%
26Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.93029%0%
27Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93029%35%
28Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
29Joel Hofer STLSTL0.83141%0%
30Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA0.82150%35%
31John Gibson DETDET0.73135%0%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.63020%35%