Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-02-24 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.44170%31%
2Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.44145%100%
3Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.44147%100%
4Jet Greaves CBJCBJ23067%35%
5Ilya Sorokin NYINYI23067%0%
6Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
7Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
8Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.74144%35%
9Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.63054%0%
10Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
11Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.53050%0%
12Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA1.53050%35%
13Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.53050%35%
14Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.44146%0%
15Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.43045%100%
16Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.43045%0%
17Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.43155%35%
18Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.34132%35%
19Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.32064%0%
20Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
21Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.24129%35%
22Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
23Joel Hofer STLSTL1.24141%0%
24Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
25Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
26John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
27Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF13035%20%
28Joey Daccord SEASEA12050%35%
29Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.94129%0%
31Linus Ullmark OTTOTT0.92047%35%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.83120%35%