Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-02-03 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jakub Dobes MTLMTL2.84240%100%
2Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL24156%35%
3Jet Greaves CBJCBJ23067%35%
4Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA1.94150%35%
5Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.84147%35%
6Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS1.73170%31%
7Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.63054%0%
8Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
9Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53150%50%
10Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
11Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.53050%0%
12Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
13Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.43047%100%
14Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.43045%0%
15Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.43045%100%
16Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.43150%35%
17Lukas Dostal ANAANA1.32065%27%
18Ilya Sorokin NYINYI1.33167%0%
19Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.33164%0%
20Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.23144%35%
21Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
22Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23142%35%
23Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
24Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
25Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93029%35%
26Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK0.93146%0%
27Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.72035%20%
28John Gibson DETDET0.72035%0%
29Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR0.73136%0%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.63129%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.63020%35%
32Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.62032%35%