Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-01-27 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.44145%100%
2Kevin Lankinen VANVAN2.24055%35%
3Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.13070%31%
4Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
5Ilya Sorokin NYINYI24167%0%
6Joey Daccord SEASEA1.94150%35%
7Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
8Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
9Jet Greaves CBJCBJ1.73167%35%
10Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.53050%35%
11Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
12Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA1.53050%35%
13Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.44136%35%
14Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.44146%0%
15Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.43045%0%
16Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.43047%100%
17Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
18Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
19Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
20Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.23144%35%
21Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.12054%0%
22John Gibson DETDET14135%0%
23Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF13035%20%
24Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA13150%0%
25Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS0.92045%100%
26Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.93029%0%
27Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
28Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.93032%35%
29Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93129%35%
30Linus Ullmark OTTOTT0.92047%35%
31Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR0.73136%0%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.63020%35%