Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-01-20 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.44170%31%
2Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.44145%100%
3Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.44147%100%
4Jet Greaves CBJCBJ2.34167%35%
5Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
6Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.94131%100%
7Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA1.94150%35%
8Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.94164%0%
9Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.93145%100%
10Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.84256%35%
11Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.84147%35%
12Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.63054%0%
13Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
14Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
15Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.53050%35%
16Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53150%50%
17Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.43046%0%
18Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.43045%0%
19Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.34032%35%
20Ilya Sorokin NYINYI1.33167%0%
21Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.33044%35%
22Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
23Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.24135%20%
24Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.24129%35%
25Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
26Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
27Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
28Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13136%35%
29John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
30Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA14250%0%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.93029%0%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.42020%35%