Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-01-13 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.44145%100%
2Jakub Dobes MTLMTL2.24140%100%
3Ilya Sorokin NYINYI23067%0%
4Jet Greaves CBJCBJ23067%35%
5Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
6Jake Oettinger DALDAL24150%50%
7Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
8Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.84147%35%
9Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
10Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.64142%35%
11Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
12Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.63054%0%
13Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.63131%100%
14Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.53050%35%
15Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.54150%0%
16Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA1.53050%35%
17Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
18Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.43046%0%
19Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.44136%35%
20Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.43045%0%
21Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS1.42070%31%
22Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.43045%100%
23Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.33044%35%
24Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
25Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.14136%0%
26Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD14120%35%
27John Gibson DETDET14135%0%
28Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.93032%35%
29Frederik Andersen CARCAR0.92047%100%
30Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.72035%20%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.63129%0%
32Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.62029%35%