Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-01-06 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.44147%100%
2Lukas Dostal ANAANA2.24165%27%
3Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.13070%31%
4Kevin Lankinen VANVAN24155%35%
5Jet Greaves CBJCBJ23067%35%
6Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL24156%35%
7Jake Oettinger DALDAL24150%50%
8Joey Daccord SEASEA1.94150%35%
9Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.94164%0%
10Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.93145%100%
11Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.94131%100%
12Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.83140%100%
13Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.84147%35%
14Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.63054%0%
15Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.53050%0%
16Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.44145%0%
17Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.43150%35%
18Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA1.43150%35%
19Ilya Sorokin NYINYI1.32067%0%
20Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
21Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.24129%35%
22Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
23Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
24Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
25Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF13035%20%
26John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
27Eric Comrie WPGWPG13132%35%
28Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.94129%0%
29Dustin Wolf CGYCGY0.92045%100%
30Juuse Saros NSHNSH0.92044%35%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.63020%35%
32Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK0.52146%0%