Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-12-30 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.44170%31%
2Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.44147%100%
3Lukas Dostal ANAANA2.24165%27%
4Ilya Sorokin NYINYI23067%0%
5Jet Greaves CBJCBJ23067%35%
6Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA1.94150%35%
7Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
8Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.83140%100%
9Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.64244%35%
10Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.64154%0%
11Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
12Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
13Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.53050%35%
14Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.53156%35%
15Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.43045%0%
16Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
17Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.43155%35%
18Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.43045%100%
19Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.34132%35%
20Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23142%35%
21Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.14136%0%
22Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
23Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA13150%0%
24John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
25Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF13035%20%
26Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.93029%0%
27Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93029%35%
28Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
29Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK0.92046%0%
30Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.83120%35%
31Joel Hofer STLSTL0.83141%0%
32Linus Ullmark OTTOTT0.82147%35%