Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-12-23 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.93145%100%
2Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.93147%100%
3Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.83140%100%
4Jet Greaves CBJCBJ1.73167%35%
5Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS1.73170%31%
6Lukas Dostal ANAANA1.63165%27%
7Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.53050%35%
8Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
9Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.53156%35%
10Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.52145%100%
11Ilya Sorokin NYINYI1.33167%0%
12Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
13Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.13154%0%
14Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.12055%35%
15Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13136%35%
16John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
17Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF13035%20%
18Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA12050%35%
19Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA12050%0%
20Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
21Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.93145%0%
22Juuse Saros NSHNSH0.92044%35%
23Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93029%35%
24Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.83120%35%
25Linus Ullmark OTTOTT0.82147%35%
26Connor Ingram EDMEDM0.82142%35%
27Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR0.72036%0%
28Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.62032%35%
29Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.63129%0%
30Scott Wedgewood COLCOL0.61064%0%
31Joey Daccord SEASEA0.51050%35%
32Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK0.52146%0%