Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-12-16 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.13070%31%
2Kevin Lankinen VANVAN24155%35%
3Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA24050%0%
4Jet Greaves CBJCBJ23067%35%
5Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
6Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.94164%0%
7Joey Daccord SEASEA1.94150%35%
8Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.84147%35%
9Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.83140%100%
10Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
11Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.64142%35%
12Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
13Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.53050%35%
14Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA1.53050%35%
15Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.44145%0%
16Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.43045%100%
17Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
18Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.43047%100%
19Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.44146%0%
20Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.33044%35%
21Ilya Sorokin NYINYI1.32067%0%
22Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
23Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13136%35%
24Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.13154%0%
25Eric Comrie WPGWPG13132%35%
26Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.93135%20%
27Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.93029%0%
28Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93129%35%
29Joel Hofer STLSTL0.83141%0%
30John Gibson DETDET0.73135%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.63020%35%
32Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.62031%100%