Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-12-09 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jet Greaves CBJCBJ2.44167%35%
2Lukas Dostal ANAANA2.24165%27%
3Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.13070%31%
4Ilya Sorokin NYINYI23067%0%
5Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.94150%35%
6Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
7Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
8Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.64154%0%
9Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
10Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.63131%100%
11Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
12Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.53050%0%
13Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA1.53050%35%
14Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.43046%0%
15Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
16Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.43047%100%
17Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.43045%100%
18Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.33044%35%
19Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.33147%35%
20Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
21Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.24135%20%
22Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
23Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.24129%35%
24Joel Hofer STLSTL1.24141%0%
25Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.14136%0%
26Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
27John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
28Jake Oettinger DALDAL12050%50%
29Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.93032%35%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.93029%0%
31Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.92045%0%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.63020%35%