Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-11-25 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jakub Dobes MTLMTL2.84240%100%
2Lukas Dostal ANAANA2.64065%27%
3Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.44145%100%
4Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.44145%100%
5Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.44147%100%
6Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.44170%31%
7Ilya Sorokin NYINYI24167%0%
8Jake Oettinger DALDAL24050%50%
9Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL24156%35%
10Kevin Lankinen VANVAN24155%35%
11Jet Greaves CBJCBJ23067%35%
12Joey Daccord SEASEA1.94150%35%
13Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.94164%0%
14Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.94131%100%
15Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.84147%35%
16Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.74144%35%
17Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.54150%0%
18Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.53050%35%
19John Gibson DETDET1.44035%0%
20Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.44146%0%
21Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.44145%0%
22Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.44136%35%
23Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA1.43150%35%
24Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.34032%35%
25Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
26Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.24129%35%
27Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.14136%0%
28Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.12054%0%
29Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD14120%35%
30Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.93135%20%
31Connor Ingram EDMEDM0.82142%35%
32Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.63129%0%