Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-11-18 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.44145%100%
2Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.13070%31%
3Jet Greaves CBJCBJ23067%35%
4Ilya Sorokin NYINYI23067%0%
5Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
6Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA1.94150%35%
7Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.93147%100%
8Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
9Lukas Dostal ANAANA1.63165%27%
10Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.64142%35%
11Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.63131%100%
12Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
13Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.53050%0%
14Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.53050%35%
15Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.43045%0%
16Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
17Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.43047%35%
18Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
19Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
20Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.12055%35%
21Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
22Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.12054%0%
23John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
24Eric Comrie WPGWPG13132%35%
25Joey Daccord SEASEA12050%35%
26Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93029%35%
27Juuse Saros NSHNSH0.92044%35%
28Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK0.92046%0%
29Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.93135%20%
30Jakub Dobes MTLMTL0.82040%100%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.63129%0%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.42020%35%