Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-11-04 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.13070%31%
2Ilya Sorokin NYINYI23067%0%
3Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
4Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
5Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.74144%35%
6Jet Greaves CBJCBJ1.73167%35%
7Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
8Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA1.53050%35%
9Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.44146%0%
10Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.43045%100%
11Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.43047%35%
12Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
13Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.43047%100%
14Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.43150%35%
15Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
16Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
17Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.24129%35%
18Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
19Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.12056%35%
20Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.13154%0%
21Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
22Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD14120%35%
23Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF13035%20%
24Joey Daccord SEASEA12050%35%
25Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA12050%0%
26Jake Oettinger DALDAL12050%50%
27Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.93032%35%
28Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.93145%0%
29John Gibson DETDET0.73135%0%
30Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR0.72036%0%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.63129%0%
32Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.62031%100%