Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-10-28 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jet Greaves CBJCBJ2.44167%35%
2Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.44145%100%
3Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.44170%31%
4Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL2.24056%35%
5Ilya Sorokin NYINYI24167%0%
6Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
7Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
8Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.94150%35%
9Joey Daccord SEASEA1.94150%35%
10Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.84045%100%
11Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.64154%0%
12Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
13Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA1.53050%35%
14Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.43047%100%
15Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.44145%0%
16Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.33044%35%
17Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.34032%35%
18Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.33147%35%
19Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
20Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
21Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
22Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
23Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
24Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA13150%0%
25Jake Oettinger DALDAL12150%50%
26Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.93135%20%
27Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
28Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK0.93146%0%
29Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.93029%0%
30Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93029%35%
31John Gibson DETDET0.72035%0%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.42020%35%