Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-10-21 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.13070%31%
2Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL24156%35%
3Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
4Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.83140%100%
5Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.64154%0%
6Lukas Dostal ANAANA1.63165%27%
7Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.63131%100%
8Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA1.53050%35%
9Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.53050%0%
10Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
11Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
12Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.43047%35%
13Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.43045%100%
14Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
15Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.43047%100%
16Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.43150%35%
17Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.43046%0%
18Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.44236%35%
19Ilya Sorokin NYINYI1.33167%0%
20Jet Greaves CBJCBJ1.32067%35%
21Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.23144%35%
22Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
23Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
24Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.12055%35%
25Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
26John Gibson DETDET14135%0%
27Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.94120%35%
28Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93029%35%
29Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.93145%0%
30Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.93032%35%
31Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.72035%20%
32Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.63129%0%