Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-10-14 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Scott Wedgewood COLCOL2.64064%0%
2Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.44145%100%
3Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.13070%31%
4Ilya Sorokin NYINYI23067%0%
5Jet Greaves CBJCBJ23067%35%
6Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
7Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.93147%100%
8Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
9Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
10Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.54150%0%
11Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA1.53050%35%
12Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
13Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
14Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.53050%35%
15Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.43047%35%
16Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.44146%0%
17Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.43045%0%
18Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.33044%35%
19Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
20Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.24029%0%
21Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
22Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
23Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
24Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
25Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.12054%0%
26John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
27Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.94120%35%
28Dustin Wolf CGYCGY0.92045%100%
29Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
30Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.93135%20%
31Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.62029%35%
32Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.62032%35%