Goalie Expected Starts
Week of 2024-09-30 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.
❓ How to read this (plain English)
The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?
- xStarts
- Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
- Start %
- His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
- B2B repeat
- How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
| # | Goalie | Team | xStarts | Team GP | B2Bs | Start % | B2B repeat | Own% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUF | BUF | 0.6 | 2 | 1 | 20% | — | |
| 2 | Jacob Markstrom NJD | NJD | 0.6 | 2 | 1 | 35% | — |