Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-04-15 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.42140%100%
2Ilya Sorokin NYINYI1.32067%0%
3Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23142%35%
4Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.12056%35%
5Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.12055%35%
6Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS12170%31%
7Arvid Soderblom CHICHI12050%35%
8Joey Daccord SEASEA12050%35%
9Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS0.92045%100%
10Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK0.92046%0%
11Dustin Wolf CGYCGY0.92045%100%
12Linus Ullmark OTTOTT0.82147%35%
13Jet Greaves CBJCBJ0.71067%35%
14Lukas Dostal ANAANA0.71065%27%
15Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.62029%0%
16Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.62029%35%
17Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.62031%100%
18Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.62032%35%
19Scott Wedgewood COLCOL0.61064%0%
20Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.52145%0%
21Frederik Andersen CARCAR0.51047%100%
22Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA0.51050%0%
23Anthony Stolarz TORTOR0.52154%0%
24Jake Oettinger DALDAL0.51050%50%
25Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR0.41036%0%
26Juuse Saros NSHNSH0.41044%35%
27Dan Vladar PHIPHI0.41036%35%
28Joel Hofer STLSTL0.41041%0%
29Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.31035%20%
30John Gibson DETDET0.32135%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.21020%35%