Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-04-08 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.44145%100%
2Jet Greaves CBJCBJ23067%35%
3Ilya Sorokin NYINYI23067%0%
4Joey Daccord SEASEA1.94150%35%
5Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
6Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.64154%0%
7Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
8Lukas Dostal ANAANA1.63165%27%
9Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
10Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.53050%0%
11Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.53050%35%
12Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS1.42070%31%
13Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.43047%100%
14Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.43045%100%
15Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.43045%0%
16Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.43047%35%
17Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.43046%0%
18Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.33164%0%
19Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.24031%100%
20Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
21Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.23144%35%
22Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
23Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23142%35%
24Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
25Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
26Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF13035%20%
27John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
28Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.93029%0%
29Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93129%35%
30Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.93032%35%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.63020%35%