Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-03-25 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Lukas Dostal ANAANA2.24165%27%
2Jet Greaves CBJCBJ23067%35%
3Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.94131%100%
4Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
5Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS1.73170%31%
6Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
7Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.63054%0%
8Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
9Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.53050%35%
10Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.53050%0%
11Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
12Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.43046%0%
13Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
14Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.43047%100%
15Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.43045%0%
16Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.43045%100%
17Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.33044%35%
18Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.33147%35%
19Ilya Sorokin NYINYI1.32067%0%
20Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
21Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
22Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
23Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
24Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
25Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.12056%35%
26John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
27Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.93029%0%
28Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.93032%35%
29Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.93135%20%
30Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.62029%35%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.42020%35%