Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-03-18 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.44147%100%
2Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.13070%31%
3Ilya Sorokin NYINYI24167%0%
4Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL24156%35%
5Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
6Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.93145%100%
7Joey Daccord SEASEA1.94150%35%
8Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
9Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.84045%0%
10Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.84147%35%
11Jet Greaves CBJCBJ1.73167%35%
12Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
13Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.64142%35%
14Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.53050%35%
15Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
16Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.43045%100%
17Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.44136%35%
18Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.34132%35%
19Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.33044%35%
20Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.24135%20%
21Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
22Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
23Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
24Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.14254%0%
25Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD14120%35%
26John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
27Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA13150%0%
28Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK0.93146%0%
29Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.93029%0%
30Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
31Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93129%35%