Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-03-11 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.44147%100%
2Jet Greaves CBJCBJ2.44167%35%
3Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.44145%100%
4Lukas Dostal ANAANA2.24165%27%
5Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.13070%31%
6Ilya Sorokin NYINYI24167%0%
7Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.84147%35%
8Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
9Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
10Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.53050%0%
11Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.53050%35%
12Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.44146%0%
13Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.44145%0%
14Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
15Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.34032%35%
16Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.33164%0%
17Joel Hofer STLSTL1.24141%0%
18Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
19Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.15236%0%
20Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
21Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.12055%35%
22Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.12056%35%
23Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.12054%0%
24Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD14120%35%
25Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF13035%20%
26John Gibson DETDET14135%0%
27Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
28Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.94129%0%
29Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93029%35%
30Juuse Saros NSHNSH0.92044%35%
31Connor Ingram EDMEDM0.82042%35%