Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-03-04 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.44170%31%
2Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.44145%100%
3Jet Greaves CBJCBJ2.34167%35%
4Ilya Sorokin NYINYI23067%0%
5Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
6Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
7Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.93147%100%
8Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.74250%35%
9Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.74144%35%
10Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.64154%0%
11Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.64142%35%
12Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
13Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.54150%0%
14Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53150%50%
15Joey Daccord SEASEA1.43150%35%
16Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.43045%100%
17Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.43046%0%
18Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.33147%35%
19Joel Hofer STLSTL1.24141%0%
20Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
21Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
22Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.12056%35%
23Eric Comrie WPGWPG13132%35%
24Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
25Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.94129%0%
26Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.93135%20%
27Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.92045%0%
28Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93129%35%
29Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR0.72036%0%
30John Gibson DETDET0.73135%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.63020%35%