Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-02-26 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.44145%100%
2Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.13070%31%
3Jake Oettinger DALDAL24150%50%
4Ilya Sorokin NYINYI23067%0%
5Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
6Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
7Jet Greaves CBJCBJ1.73167%35%
8Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.64247%35%
9Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.64142%35%
10Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.63054%0%
11Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
12Lukas Dostal ANAANA1.63165%27%
13Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
14Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.53050%0%
15Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.44145%0%
16Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.44146%0%
17Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.43047%100%
18Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.33044%35%
19Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.34132%35%
20Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.24135%20%
21Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.24129%35%
22Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
23Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13136%35%
24John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
25Arvid Soderblom CHICHI12050%35%
26Dustin Wolf CGYCGY0.92045%100%
27Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
28Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.94129%0%
29Joel Hofer STLSTL0.83141%0%
30Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR0.72036%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.63020%35%