Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-02-19 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.44170%31%
2Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.44147%100%
3Jet Greaves CBJCBJ2.34167%35%
4Lukas Dostal ANAANA2.24165%27%
5Jake Oettinger DALDAL24150%50%
6Arvid Soderblom CHICHI24050%35%
7Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL24156%35%
8Kevin Lankinen VANVAN24155%35%
9Ilya Sorokin NYINYI23067%0%
10Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.94131%100%
11Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
12Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.84147%35%
13Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.83140%100%
14Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.74144%35%
15Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.64142%35%
16Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.64154%0%
17Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
18Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.53050%0%
19Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.44035%20%
20Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
21Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.43046%0%
22Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.43045%0%
23Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.34132%35%
24Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.34229%35%
25Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
26Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.14136%0%
27Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13136%35%
28John Gibson DETDET14135%0%
29Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD14120%35%
30Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS0.92045%100%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.93029%0%