Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-02-12 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.13070%31%
2Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
3Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.93147%100%
4Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
5Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.93145%100%
6Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
7Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
8Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.63054%0%
9Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
10Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.53050%35%
11Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
12Joey Daccord SEASEA1.43150%35%
13Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.44146%0%
14Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.43047%35%
15Jet Greaves CBJCBJ1.32067%35%
16Ilya Sorokin NYINYI1.32067%0%
17Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.33044%35%
18Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
19Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
20Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
21Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
22Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
23Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF13035%20%
24John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
25Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA13150%0%
26Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.94120%35%
27Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93029%35%
28Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.92045%0%
29Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.62031%100%
30Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.62032%35%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.63129%0%