Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-01-22 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.64231%100%
2Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.44170%31%
3Jet Greaves CBJCBJ2.44167%35%
4Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
5Ilya Sorokin NYINYI23067%0%
6Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.94150%35%
7Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.93145%100%
8Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.93147%100%
9Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.84046%0%
10Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
11Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
12Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.54150%0%
13Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
14Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
15Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
16Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.43047%35%
17Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.33044%35%
18Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.32064%0%
19Joel Hofer STLSTL1.24141%0%
20Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
21Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
22Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
23Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.12054%0%
24John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
25Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.93032%35%
26Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.93135%20%
27Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93029%35%
28Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.93145%0%
29Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR0.73136%0%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.63129%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.63020%35%