Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-01-01 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.44145%100%
2Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.13070%31%
3Jet Greaves CBJCBJ23067%35%
4Ilya Sorokin NYINYI23067%0%
5Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
6Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.93147%100%
7Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
8Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.94150%35%
9Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
10Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
11Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
12Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.53050%0%
13Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.43045%100%
14Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.43046%0%
15Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.43047%35%
16Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.44145%0%
17Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.33044%35%
18Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.34132%35%
19Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
20Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
21Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
22Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.13154%0%
23Joey Daccord SEASEA12050%35%
24John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
25Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
26Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93029%35%
27Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.93029%0%
28Connor Ingram EDMEDM0.82042%35%
29Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.83120%35%
30Joel Hofer STLSTL0.82041%0%
31Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.72035%20%