Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-12-25 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Ilya Sorokin NYINYI23067%0%
2Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
3Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.93147%100%
4Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
5Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.93145%100%
6Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.83140%100%
7Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS1.73170%31%
8Jet Greaves CBJCBJ1.73167%35%
9Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.53050%35%
10Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
11Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.53156%35%
12Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.43047%35%
13Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.32131%100%
14Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.23144%35%
15Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23142%35%
16Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.13154%0%
17Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13136%35%
18Joey Daccord SEASEA12050%35%
19Eric Comrie WPGWPG13132%35%
20John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
21Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA13150%0%
22Dustin Wolf CGYCGY0.92045%100%
23Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.93135%20%
24Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93129%35%
25Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.93145%0%
26Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK0.93146%0%
27Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.83120%35%
28Joel Hofer STLSTL0.83141%0%
29Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR0.73136%0%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.63129%0%
31Kevin Lankinen VANVAN0.51055%35%