Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-12-18 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
2Jet Greaves CBJCBJ23067%35%
3Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
4Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.83140%100%
5Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS1.73170%31%
6Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
7Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
8Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.63054%0%
9Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.53050%0%
10Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
11Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
12Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
13Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.43047%100%
14Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.43150%35%
15Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.43045%100%
16Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.43047%35%
17Ilya Sorokin NYINYI1.33167%0%
18Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.33044%35%
19Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.24129%35%
20Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23142%35%
21Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
22Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13136%35%
23John Gibson DETDET14135%0%
24Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF13035%20%
25Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.93029%0%
26Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.93032%35%
27Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
28Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK0.93146%0%
29Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.93145%0%
30Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR0.73136%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.63020%35%