Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-12-11 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

❓ How to read this (plain English)

The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.44145%100%
2Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.44147%100%
3Ilya Sorokin NYINYI24167%0%
4Kevin Lankinen VANVAN24155%35%
5Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
6Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.94164%0%
7Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.84147%35%
8Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
9Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS1.73170%31%
10Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.64154%0%
11Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53150%50%
12Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.53050%35%
13Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
14Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.53050%0%
15Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.43045%100%
16Jet Greaves CBJCBJ1.32067%35%
17Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.24135%20%
18Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
19Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
20Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.23144%35%
21Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
22John Gibson DETDET14135%0%
23Eric Comrie WPGWPG13132%35%
24Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
25Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK0.92046%0%
26Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.93145%0%
27Jakub Dobes MTLMTL0.82040%100%
28Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.83120%35%
29Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR0.73136%0%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.63129%0%
31Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.62029%35%