Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-12-04 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.44147%100%
2Jet Greaves CBJCBJ2.34167%35%
3Jakub Dobes MTLMTL2.24140%100%
4Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL24156%35%
5Jake Oettinger DALDAL24150%50%
6Ilya Sorokin NYINYI23067%0%
7Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
8Joey Daccord SEASEA1.94150%35%
9Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.94131%100%
10Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.94150%35%
11Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
12Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.74144%35%
13Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
14Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.53050%0%
15Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.44145%0%
16Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
17Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.43047%35%
18Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.44146%0%
19Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.43045%100%
20Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS1.42070%31%
21Joel Hofer STLSTL1.24141%0%
22Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.24129%35%
23Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
24Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
25Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.12054%0%
26Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF13035%20%
27John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
28Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD14120%35%
29Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.93032%35%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.93029%0%
31Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR0.73136%0%