Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-11-13 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jet Greaves CBJCBJ2.44167%35%
2Lukas Dostal ANAANA2.24165%27%
3Ilya Sorokin NYINYI24167%0%
4Joey Daccord SEASEA1.94150%35%
5Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
6Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.94131%100%
7Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
8Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS1.42070%31%
9Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
10Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.43155%35%
11Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.43150%35%
12Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
13Joel Hofer STLSTL1.24141%0%
14Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
15Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13136%35%
16Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.12054%0%
17Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF13035%20%
18Jake Oettinger DALDAL12050%50%
19Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA13150%0%
20Eric Comrie WPGWPG13132%35%
21Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.94129%0%
22Juuse Saros NSHNSH0.92044%35%
23Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS0.92045%100%
24Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.92045%0%
25Frederik Andersen CARCAR0.92047%100%
26Linus Ullmark OTTOTT0.92047%35%
27Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK0.92046%0%
28Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.63020%35%
29Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.62129%35%
30Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR0.41036%0%
31John Gibson DETDET0.32135%0%