Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-11-06 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jet Greaves CBJCBJ2.44167%35%
2Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.44145%100%
3Jakub Dobes MTLMTL2.24140%100%
4Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.13070%31%
5Jake Oettinger DALDAL24150%50%
6Kevin Lankinen VANVAN24155%35%
7Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL24156%35%
8Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA24050%0%
9Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
10Ilya Sorokin NYINYI23067%0%
11Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.93147%100%
12Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
13Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.93145%100%
14Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.64154%0%
15Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
16Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.33044%35%
17Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.33147%35%
18Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
19Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.24129%35%
20Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
21Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
22Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13136%35%
23John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
24Arvid Soderblom CHICHI12050%35%
25Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.93135%20%
26Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.93029%0%
27Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.93032%35%
28Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.93145%0%
29Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK0.93146%0%
30Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.62031%100%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.42020%35%